demand pattern
The Maximum Coverage Model and Recommendation System for UAV Vertiports Location Planning
Hua, Chunliang, Hu, Xiao, Sun, Jiayang, Yang, Zeyuan
As urban aerial mobility (UAM) infrastructure development accelerates globally, cities like Shenzhen are planning large-scale vertiport networks (e.g., 1,200+ facilities by 2026). Existing planning frameworks remain inadequate for this complexity due to historical limitations in data granularity and real-world applicability. This paper addresses these gaps by first proposing the Capacitated Dynamic Maximum Covering Location Problem (CDMCLP), a novel optimization framework that simultaneously models urban-scale spatial-temporal demand, heterogeneous user behaviors, and infrastructure capacity constraints. Building on this foundation, we introduce an Integrated Planning Recommendation System that combines CDMCLP with socio-economic factors and dynamic clustering initialization. This system leverages adaptive parameter tuning based on empirical user behavior to generate practical planning solutions. Validation in a Chinese center city demonstrates the effectiveness of the new optimization framework and recommendation system. Under the evaluation and optimization of CDMCLP, the quantitative performance of traditional location methods are exposed and can be improved by 38\%--52\%, while the recommendation system shows user-friendliness and the effective integration of complex elements. By integrating mathematical rigor with practical implementation considerations, this hybrid approach bridges the gap between theoretical location modeling and real-world UAM infrastructure planning, offering municipalities a pragmatic tool for vertiport network design.
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Shenzhen (0.25)
- North America > United States > Minnesota > Hennepin County > Minneapolis (0.16)
- North America > United States > California (0.14)
- (7 more...)
- Transportation > Ground (0.46)
- Information Technology > Robotics & Automation (0.46)
- Transportation > Air (0.46)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Personal Assistant Systems (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (0.94)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Optimization (0.87)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Robots > Autonomous Vehicles > Drones (0.68)
Spatio-Temporal Demand Prediction for Food Delivery Using Attention-Driven Graph Neural Networks
Bhat, Rabia Latief, Gillani, Iqra Altaf
Accurate demand forecasting is critical for enhancing the efficiency and responsiveness of food delivery platforms, where spatial heterogeneity and temporal fluctuations in order volumes directly influence operational decisions. This paper proposes an attention-based Graph Neural Network framework that captures spatial-temporal dependencies by modeling the food delivery environment as a graph. In this graph, nodes represent urban delivery zones, while edges reflect spatial proximity and inter-regional order flow patterns derived from historical data. The attention mechanism dynamically weighs the influence of neighboring zones, enabling the model to focus on the most contextually relevant areas during prediction. Temporal trends are jointly learned alongside spatial interactions, allowing the model to adapt to evolving demand patterns. Extensive experiments on real-world food delivery datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model in forecasting future order volumes with high accuracy. The framework offers a scalable and adaptive solution to support proactive fleet positioning, resource allocation, and dispatch optimization in urban food delivery operations.
- North America > Trinidad and Tobago > Trinidad > Arima > Arima (0.04)
- Asia > India > Jammu and Kashmir > Srinagar (0.04)
- Transportation > Passenger (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (1.00)
- Transportation > Freight & Logistics Services (1.00)
- (2 more...)
Intelligent Routing for Sparse Demand Forecasting: A Comparative Evaluation of Selection Strategies
Sparse and intermittent demand forecasting in supply chains presents a critical challenge, as frequent zero-demand periods hinder traditional model accuracy and impact inventory management. We propose and evaluate a Model-Router framework that dynamically selects the most suitable forecasting model-spanning classical, ML, and DL methods for each product based on its unique demand pattern. By comparing rule-based, LightGBM, and InceptionTime routers, our approach learns to assign appropriate forecasting strategies, effectively differentiating between smooth, lumpy, or intermittent demand regimes to optimize predictions. Experiments on the large-scale Favorita dataset show our deep learning (Inception Time) router improves forecasting accuracy by up to 11.8% (NWRMSLE) over strong, single-model benchmarks with 4.67x faster inference time. Ultimately, these gains in forecasting precision will drive substantial reductions in both stockouts and wasteful excess inventory, underscoring the critical role of intelligent, adaptive Al in optimizing contemporary supply chain operations.
- North America > Canada > Ontario > Toronto (0.05)
- Oceania > Australia (0.04)
- North America > United States > Utah > Salt Lake County > Salt Lake City (0.04)
- (3 more...)
- Information Technology > Modeling & Simulation (1.00)
- Information Technology > Data Science > Data Mining (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Rule-Based Reasoning (0.90)
Decomposition of Water Demand Patterns Using Skewed Gaussian Distributions for Behavioral Insights and Operational Planning
This study presents a novel approach for decomposing urban water demand patterns using Skewed Gaussian Distributions (SGD) to derive behavioral insights and support operational planning. Hourly demand profiles contain critical information for both long-term infrastructure design and daily operations, influencing network pressures, water quality, energy consumption, and overall reliability. By breaking down each daily demand curve into a baseline component and distinct peak components, the proposed SGD method characterizes each peak with interpretable parameters, including peak amplitude, timing (mean), spread (duration), and skewness (asymmetry), thereby reconstructing the observed pattern and uncovering latent usage dynamics. This detailed peak-level decomposition enables both operational applications, e.g. anomaly and leakage detection, real-time demand management, and strategic analyses, e.g. identifying behavioral shifts, seasonal influences, or policy impacts on consumption patterns. Unlike traditional symmetric Gaussian or purely statistical time-series models, SGDs explicitly capture asymmetric peak shapes such as sharp morning surges followed by gradual declines, improving the fidelity of synthetic pattern generation and enhancing the detection of irregular consumption behavior. The method is demonstrated on several real-world datasets, showing that SGD outperforms symmetric Gaussian models in reconstruction accuracy, reducing root-mean-square error by over 50% on average, while maintaining physical interpretability. The SGD framework can also be used to construct synthetic demand scenarios by designing daily peak profiles with chosen characteristics. All implementation code is publicly available at: https://github.com/Relkayam/water-demand-decomposition-sgd
- North America > United States > California (0.14)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England (0.14)
- Europe > Switzerland > Basel-City > Basel (0.04)
- (3 more...)
Joint Estimation and Prediction of City-wide Delivery Demand: A Large Language Model Empowered Graph-based Learning Approach
Nie, Tong, He, Junlin, Mei, Yuewen, Qin, Guoyang, Li, Guilong, Sun, Jian, Ma, Wei
The proliferation of e-commerce and urbanization has significantly intensified delivery operations in urban areas, boosting the volume and complexity of delivery demand. Data-driven predictive methods, especially those utilizing machine learning techniques, have emerged to handle these complexities in urban delivery demand management problems. One particularly pressing problem that has not yet been sufficiently studied is the joint estimation and prediction of city-wide delivery demand. To this end, we formulate this problem as a graph-based spatiotemporal learning task. First, a message-passing neural network model is formalized to capture the interaction between demand patterns of associated regions. Second, by exploiting recent advances in large language models, we extract general geospatial knowledge encodings from the unstructured locational data and integrate them into the demand predictor. Last, to encourage the cross-city transferability of the model, an inductive training scheme is developed in an end-to-end routine. Extensive empirical results on two real-world delivery datasets, including eight cities in China and the US, demonstrate that our model significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in these challenging tasks.
- Asia > China > Shanghai > Shanghai (0.06)
- Asia > China > Zhejiang Province > Hangzhou (0.05)
- Asia > China > Chongqing Province > Chongqing (0.05)
- (6 more...)
- Transportation > Freight & Logistics Services (0.93)
- Energy (0.92)
- Information Technology (0.88)
Localizing Anomalies in Critical Infrastructure using Model-Based Drift Explanations
Vaquet, Valerie, Hinder, Fabian, Vaquet, Jonas, Lammers, Kathrin, Quakernack, Lars, Hammer, Barbara
Facing climate change, the already limited availability of drinking water will decrease in the future rendering drinking water an increasingly scarce resource. Considerable amounts of it are lost through leakages in water transportation and distribution networks. Thus, anomaly detection and localization, in particular for leakages, are crucial but challenging tasks due to the complex interactions and changing demands in water distribution networks. In this work, we analyze the effects of anomalies on the dynamics of critical infrastructure systems by modeling the networks employing Bayesian networks. We then discuss how the problem is connected to and can be considered through the lens of concept drift. In particular, we argue that model-based explanations of concept drift are a promising tool for localizing anomalies given limited information about the network. The methodology is experimentally evaluated using realistic benchmark scenarios. To showcase that our methodology applies to critical infrastructure more generally, in addition to considering leakages and sensor faults in water systems, we showcase the suitability of the derived technique to localize sensor faults in power systems.
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Europe > Netherlands > South Holland > Delft (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- Energy > Power Industry (0.93)
- Water & Waste Management > Water Management > Water Supplies & Services (0.87)
Reinforcement Learning (RL) Augmented Cold Start Frequency Reduction in Serverless Computing
Agarwal, Siddharth, Rodriguez, Maria A., Buyya, Rajkumar
Function-as-a-Service is a cloud computing paradigm offering an event-driven execution model to applications. It features serverless attributes by eliminating resource management responsibilities from developers and offers transparent and on-demand scalability of applications. Typical serverless applications have stringent response time and scalability requirements and therefore rely on deployed services to provide quick and fault-tolerant feedback to clients. However, the FaaS paradigm suffers from cold starts as there is a non-negligible delay associated with on-demand function initialization. This work focuses on reducing the frequency of cold starts on the platform by using Reinforcement Learning. Our approach uses Q-learning and considers metrics such as function CPU utilization, existing function instances, and response failure rate to proactively initialize functions in advance based on the expected demand. The proposed solution was implemented on Kubeless and was evaluated using a normalised real-world function demand trace with matrix multiplication as the workload. The results demonstrate a favourable performance of the RL-based agent when compared to Kubeless' default policy and function keep-alive policy by improving throughput by up to 8.81% and reducing computation load and resource wastage by up to 55% and 37%, respectively, which is a direct outcome of reduced cold starts.
Anticipatory Fleet Repositioning for Shared-use Autonomous Mobility Services: An Optimization and Learning-Based Approach
Filipovska, Monika, Hyland, Michael, Bala, Haimanti
The development of mobility-on-demand services, rich transportation data sources, and autonomous vehicles (AVs) creates significant opportunities for shared-use AV mobility services (SAMSs) to provide accessible and demand-responsive personal mobility. SAMS fleet operation involves multiple interrelated decisions, with a primary focus on efficiently fulfilling passenger ride requests with a high level of service quality. This paper focuses on improving the efficiency and service quality of a SAMS vehicle fleet via anticipatory repositioning of idle vehicles. The rebalancing problem is formulated as a Markov Decision Process, which we propose solving using an advantage actor critic (A2C) reinforcement learning-based method. The proposed approach learns a rebalancing policy that anticipates future demand and cooperates with an optimization-based assignment strategy. The approach allows for centralized repositioning decisions and can handle large vehicle fleets since the problem size does not change with the fleet size. Using New York City taxi data and an agent-based simulation tool, two versions of the A2C AV repositioning approach are tested. The first version, A2C-AVR(A), learns to anticipate future demand based on past observations, while the second, A2C-AVR(B), uses demand forecasts. The models are compared to an optimization-based rebalancing approach and show significant reduction in mean passenger waiting times, with a slightly increased percentage of empty fleet miles travelled. The experiments demonstrate the model's ability to anticipate future demand and its transferability to cases unseen at the training stage.
- North America > United States > California > Orange County > Irvine (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Travis County > Austin (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- (5 more...)
- Transportation > Passenger (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (1.00)
- Information Technology > Communications (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Reinforcement Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks (1.00)
Multi-Agent Transfer Learning in Reinforcement Learning-Based Ride-Sharing Systems
Castagna, Alberto, Dusparic, Ivana
Reinforcement learning (RL) has been used in a range of simulated real-world tasks, e.g., sensor coordination, traffic light control, and on-demand mobility services. However, real world deployments are rare, as RL struggles with dynamic nature of real world environments, requiring time for learning a task and adapting to changes in the environment. Transfer Learning (TL) can help lower these adaptation times. In particular, there is a significant potential of applying TL in multi-agent RL systems, where multiple agents can share knowledge with each other, as well as with new agents that join the system. To obtain the most from inter-agent transfer, transfer roles (i.e., determining which agents act as sources and which as targets), as well as relevant transfer content parameters (e.g., transfer size) should be selected dynamically in each particular situation. As a first step towards fully dynamic transfers, in this paper we investigate the impact of TL transfer parameters with fixed source and target roles. Specifically, we label every agent-environment interaction with agent's epistemic confidence, and we filter the shared examples using varying threshold levels and sample sizes. We investigate impact of these parameters in two scenarios, a standard predator-prey RL benchmark and a simulation of a ride-sharing system with 200 vehicle agents and 10,000 ride-requests.
- Europe > Ireland > Leinster > County Dublin > Dublin (0.14)
- North America > United States > Texas > Travis County > Austin (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
Spatio-temporal Edge Service Placement: A Bandit Learning Approach
Chen, Lixing, Xu, Jie, Ren, Shaolei, Zhou, Pan
Shared edge computing platforms deployed at the radio access network are expected to significantly improve quality of service delivered by Application Service Providers (ASPs) in a flexible and economic way. However, placing edge service in every possible edge site by an ASP is practically infeasible due to the ASP's prohibitive budget requirement. In this paper, we investigate the edge service placement problem of an ASP under a limited budget, where the ASP dynamically rents computing/storage resources in edge sites to host its applications in close proximity to end users. Since the benefit of placing edge service in a specific site is usually unknown to the ASP a priori, optimal placement decisions must be made while learning this benefit. We pose this problem as a novel combinatorial contextual bandit learning problem. It is "combinatorial" because only a limited number of edge sites can be rented to provide the edge service given the ASP's budget. It is "contextual" because we utilize user context information to enable finer-grained learning and decision making. To solve this problem and optimize the edge computing performance, we propose SEEN, a Spatial-temporal Edge sErvice placemeNt algorithm. Furthermore, SEEN is extended to scenarios with overlapping service coverage by incorporating a disjunctively constrained knapsack problem. In both cases, we prove that our algorithm achieves a sublinear regret bound when it is compared to an oracle algorithm that knows the exact benefit information. Simulations are carried out on a real-world dataset, whose results show that SEEN significantly outperforms benchmark solutions. Mobile cloud computing (MCC) supports mobile applications in resource-constrained mobile devices by offloading computation-demanding tasks to the resource-rich remote cloud. L. Chen and J. Xu are with Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Miami, USA. S. Ren is with Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Riverside, USA.
- North America > United States > California > Riverside County > Riverside (0.24)
- Asia > Japan (0.04)
- Asia > China (0.04)
- Telecommunications (1.00)
- Information Technology > Services (0.46)